What is India’s Monsoon Forecast Waiting for the Monsoon in India Data shows a decrease in total rainfall while extreme rainfall events increase. Matadin Meena, a 72-year-old farmer in Rajasthan’s Alwar district, sighed as he looked up at the sky on a scorching May afternoon.
“It all depends on the rain and the harvest,” he explained, wiping a bead of sweat from his creased brow. “I’d like to know how much rain will fall in my village and when.” Then, if we get a good monsoon and I can sell my crop reasonably, I’ll add another room to my house.”
Monsoon is as much prose as poetry in India. It excites economists, equity markets, artists, writers, and musicians. The summer monsoon, which typically arrives in June and lasts until September, is life and livelihood for millions of Indian farmers like Meena. During this time, more than 75 per cent of India’s annual rainfall falls. Monsoon rains are critical for India’s agriculture, the country’s largest employer.
Farmer Meena has seen the monsoon rise and dash hopes over the last five decades. He recalls heavy rains near the end of the monsoon last year, just as the pearl millet crop remained harvested. “The entire crop remained ruined.”
The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD)
The India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) first forecast of southwest monsoon season rainfall has raised hopes this year. A statement from the government agency monitors weather conditions across the country. Between 1971 and 2020.
India predicted that “Southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96 to 104 per cent of Long Period Average (LPA)”. The figure is most likely 99 per cent of the LPA.
The IMD’s new normal LPA of 87cm of rainfall drew much media attention in India this year. It is one centimetre shorter than the LPA from 1961 to 2010. That may not seem like much, but it confirms a downward trend. From 1951 to 2000, the LPA was 89cm.
“There is nothing unusual about the country’s revised definition of average rainfall.” It is a standard revision. We do it every ten years. It is the definitive international procedure.” IMD’s director general, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, told Al Jazeera.
Important Forecast for Farmers
The IMD rainfall forecast assists farmers in making the first critical decision of the season: what crops to grow and how to allocate land accordingly.
We are not gods of the weather. Therefore, weather forecast accuracy can never remain guaranteed. However, monsoon forecasts are helpful. “Not only to farmers but also policymakers in India,” said V Geethalakshmi, vice-chancellor of Tamil Nadu Agricultural University and an agro-meteorologist.
The forecasts allow India’s numerous government-run Agro-Meteorological fields. Units send text messages to farmers to assist them in making weather-sensitive decisions such as transplanting crops, scheduling irrigation, and harvesting crops on time, among other things.
The monsoon line will move towards North India on July 28, and the weather in West #Rajasthan will become almost dry. However, light to moderate rain may continue to fall over India. Today’s Monsoon Weather Updates: So far, most of Rajasthan has received above-average rainfall during the Monsoon season. What is India’s Monsoon Forecast
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